Projected change in climate thresholds in the Northeastern U.S.: implications for crops, pests, livestock, and farmers

David W Wolfe, Lewis Ziska, Curt Petzoldt, Abby Seaman, Larry Chase, Katharine Hayhoe

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Most prior climate change assessments for U.S. agriculture have focused on major world food crops such as wheat and maize. While useful from a national and global perspective, these results are not particularly relevant to the Northeastern U.S. agriculture economy, which is dominated by dairy milk production, and high-value horticultural crops such as apples (Malus domestica), grapes (Vitis vinifera), sweet corn (Zea mays var. rugosa), cabbage (Brassica oleracea var. capitata), and maple syrup (sugar maple, Acer saccharum). We used statistically downscaled climate projections generated by the HadCM3 atmosphere–ocean general circulation model, run with Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change future emissions scenarios A1fi (higher) and B1 (lower), to evaluate several climate thresholds of direct relevance to agriculture in the region. A longer (frost-free) growing season could create new opportunities for farmers with enough capital to take risks on new crops (assuming a market for n
Original languageEnglish
JournalMitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change
StatePublished - Sep 12 2007

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Projected change in climate thresholds in the Northeastern U.S.: implications for crops, pests, livestock, and farmers'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this