Historical trends regarding state disintegration and political transitions suggest that half of extant states will break up by the end of the century. Although the immediate consequences of political experiments disappear on average during the political lifetime of a single generation, they can generate a lasting situation of political uncertainty. Large-scale conflicts may open a window of opportunity for global political transformations.
|Title of host publication||On the Edge of Uncertainty: Evolution in the Global Political System|
|Publisher||Springer International Publishing|
|Number of pages||18|
|State||Published - 2016|