Nonlinear Characteristics of Ensemble Perturbation Evolution and their Application to Forecasting High-impact Events

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

This work exmaines linear vs. nonlinear perturbation evolution in an ensemble forecasting system. It also develops best-member techniques toward improving the predictability of high-impact events within an ensemble framework.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1353-1365
JournalWeather and Forecasting/American Meteorological Society
StatePublished - Dec 2013

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