Emigration and The Stable Population Model: Migration Effects on the Demographic Structure of the Sending Country

Cristina Bradatan

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

3 Scopus citations

Abstract

This chapter aims to extend the stable population model by analyzing emigration from a below replacement fertility population. After presenting the mathematical model of a stable population with constant age-specific rates of emigration, I apply this model to a population with below replacement fertility, Romania and its emigration to Spain. The dependency ratios as well as the number in the staying and emigrant population are calculated at two future points in time (100 and 150 years). The analysis finds two rather unexpected results: (1) constant age-specific emigration rates slightly improve the dependency ratio of the aging sending population, and (2) the difference in size between the population with and without emigration is rather small.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationSpringer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
PublisherSpringer Science and Business Media B.V.
Pages217-225
Number of pages9
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016

Publication series

NameSpringer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Volume39
ISSN (Print)1877-2560
ISSN (Electronic)2215-1990

Keywords

  • Below replacement fertility
  • Migration
  • Stable population

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