Abstract
This chapter aims to extend the stable population model by analyzing
emigration from a below replacement fertility population. After
presenting the mathematical model of a stable population with constant
age-specific rates of emigration, I apply this model to a population with
below replacement fertility, Romania and its emigration to Spain. The
dependency ratios as well as the number in the staying and emigrant
population are calculated at two future points in time (100 and 150
years). The analysis finds two rather unexpected results: (1) constant
age-specific emigration rates slightly improve the dependency ratio of
the aging sending population, and (2) the difference in size between the
population with and without emigration is rather small.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Emigration and the stable population model. Migration effects on the demographic structure of the sending country |
| Publisher | Springer |
| State | Published - Jan 2016 |