CMIP5 climate model analyses: Climate extremes in the United States

Donald Wuebbles, Gerald Meehl, Katharine Hayhoe, Thomas R. Karl, Kenneth Kunkel, Benjamin Santer, Michael Wehner, Brian Colle, Erich M. Fischer, Rong Fu, Alex Goodman, Emily Janssen, Viatcheslav Kharin, Huikyo Lee, Wenhong Li, Lindsey N. Long, Seth C. Olsen, Zaitao Pan, Anji Seth, Justin SheffieldLiqiang Sun

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

200 Scopus citations

Abstract

Given the increases in spatial resolution and other improvements in climate modeling capabilities over the last decade since the CMIP3 simulations were completed, CMIP5 provides a unique opportunity to assess scientific understanding of climate variability and change over a range of historical and future conditions. With participation from over 20 modeling groups and more than 40 global models, CMIP5 represents the latest and most ambitious coordinated international climate model intercomparison exercise to date. Observations dating back to 1900 show that the temperatures in the twenty-first century have the largest spatial extent of record breaking and much above normal mean monthly maximum and minimum temperatures. The 20-yr return value of the annual maximum or minimum daily temperature is one measure of changes in rare temperature extremes.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)571-583
Number of pages13
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume95
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Apr 2014

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