Bombing to bargain? The air war for Kosovo

Susan Hannah Allen, Tiffiny Vincent

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    7 Scopus citations

    Abstract

    Given the prominence of air power as a foreign policy tool, we attempt to clearly link the military process of dropping munitions on the target state to the accompanying diplomatic process between the attacker and the adversary. To explore the connection between the two processes, we look at the 1999 NATO bombing campaign over Kosovo, which allows us to isolate the influence of air power. Why were 78days of NATO bombing needed to convince Milošević to make concessions? Comparing expectations from both bargaining models and traditional coercive models, we find that the intensity of bombing, the duration of bombing, and mediation were important predictors of the Serbian government's behavior during the Kosovo crisis.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1-26
    Number of pages26
    JournalForeign Policy Analysis
    Volume7
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    StatePublished - Jan 2011

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