Autocratic time horizons and the growth effect of foreign direct investment

Daehee Bak, Chungshik Moon

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

The positive influence of foreign direct investment (FDI) on host countries' economic growth has been widely debated. Given the mixed empirical evidence, scholars have sought to find the economic preconditions under which FDI spillovers are likely to occur and facilitate economic growth in the host countries. Those preconditions are not exogenously dictated but largely shaped by governments' policy preferences. Particularly in autocracies, an autocrat's policy preferences are the driving force that determines whether a host country is likely to be equipped with growth-friendly institutions and policies. We argue that such economic institutions and policies are dependent on the time horizons of autocrats in power. Our empirical analysis covering 64 autocratic countries from 1970 to 2005 supports our main argument that FDI has a positive effect on growth when autocratic time horizons are sufficiently long, and positive FDI spillovers mainly occur through the protection of property right institutions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)143-161
Number of pages19
JournalJapanese Journal of Political Science
Volume20
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 1 2019

Keywords

  • Authoritarian regime
  • FDI spillovers
  • property rights

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