TY - JOUR
T1 - A Bayesian spatial econometric analysis of the 2010 UK general election
AU - Jensen, Christa D.
AU - Lacombe, Donald J.
AU - Mcintyre, Stuart G.
N1 - Copyright:
Copyright 2013 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2013/8
Y1 - 2013/8
N2 - The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio-economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond an incumbent's own constituency.
AB - The Conservative Party won the 2010 General Election in the United Kingdom, gaining the most votes and seats of any single party. Using Bayesian spatial econometric methods, we show that significant spatial dependence exists in Conservative voting behaviour and select the spatial Durbin model as the best model to explain this phenomenon. This paper examines these spatial effects as well as the effects of a range of economic, socio-economic, and political variables. Perhaps the most interesting result is that incumbency has effects beyond an incumbent's own constituency.
KW - 2010 UK General Election
KW - Spatial econometric analysis
KW - Spatial voting analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84881551291&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00415.x
DO - 10.1111/j.1435-5957.2012.00415.x
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84881551291
VL - 92
SP - 651
EP - 666
JO - Papers in Regional Science
JF - Papers in Regional Science
SN - 1056-8190
IS - 3
ER -